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A global-scale screening of non-native aquatic organisms to identify potentially invasive species under current and future climate conditions

Lorenzo Vilizzi 1 Gordon Copp Jeffrey Hill Boris Adamovich Luke Aislabie Daniel Akin Abbas Al-Faisal David Almeida M.N. Amal Azmai Rigers Bakiu Adriana Bellati Renée Bernier Jason Bies Gökçen Bilge Paulo Branco Thuyet Bui João Canning-Clode Henrique Anatole Cardoso Ramos Gustavo Castellanos-Galindo Nuno Castro Ratcha Chaichana Paula Chainho Joleen Chan Almir Cunico Amelia Curd 2 Punyanuch Dangchana Dimitriy Dashinov Phil Davison Mariele de Camargo Jennifer Dodd Allison Durland Donahou Lennart Edsman F. Güler Ekmekçi Jessica Elphinstone-Davis Tibor Erős Charlotte Evangelista Gemma Fenwick Árpád Ferincz Teresa Ferreira Eric Feunteun 3 Halit Filiz Sandra Forneck Helen Gajduchenko João Gama Monteiro Ignacio Gestoso Daniela Giannetto Allan Gilles Francesca Gizzi Branko Glamuzina Luka Glamuzina Jesica Goldsmit Stephan Gollasch Philippe Goulletquer 2 Joanna Grabowska Rogan Harmer Phillip Haubrock Dekui He Jeffrey Hean Gábor Herczeg Kimberly Howland Ali İlhan Elena Interesova Katarína Jakubčinová Anders Jelmert Stein Johnsen Tomasz Kakareko Kamalaporn Kanongdate Nurçin Killi Jeong-Eun Kim Şerife Gülsün Kırankaya Dominika Kňazovická Oldřich Kopecký Vasil Kostov Nicholas Koutsikos Sebastian Kozic Tatia Kuljanishvili Biju Kumar Lohith Kumar Yoshihisa Kurita Irmak Kurtul Lorenzo Lazzaro Laura Lee Maiju Lehtiniemi Giovanni Leonardi Rob S.E.W. Leuven Shan Li Tatsiana Lipinskaya Fei Liu Lance Lloyd Massimo Lorenzoni Sergio Alberto Luna Timothy Lyons Kit Magellan Martin Malmstrøm Agnese Marchini Sean Marr Gérard Masson 4 Laurence Masson Cynthia Mckenzie Daniyar Memedemin Roberto Mendoza Dan Minchin Laurence Miossec Seyed Daryoush Moghaddas Moleseng Moshobane Levan Mumladze Rahmat Naddafi Elnaz Najafi-Majd Aurel Năstase Ion Năvodaru J. Wesley Neal Sarah Nienhuis Matura Nimtim Emma Nolan Anna Occhipinti-Ambrogi Henn Ojaveer Sergej Olenin Karin Olsson Norio Onikura Kathryn O'Shaughnessy Daniele Paganelli Paola Parretti Jiří Patoka Richard Thomas B. Pavia Daniele Pellitteri-Rosa Michèle Pelletier-Rousseau Elfritzson Peralta Costas Perdikaris Dariusz Pietraszewski Marina Piria 1, 5, * Sophie Pitois Laura Pompei Nicolas Poulet 6 Cristina Preda Riikka Puntila-Dodd Ali Qashqaei Tena Radočaj Hossein Rahmani Smrithy Raj David Reeves Milica Ristovska Viktor Rizevsky D. Ross Robertson Peter Robertson Laura Ruykys Abdulwakil Saba José Santos Hasan Sarı Pedro Segurado Vitaliy Semenchenko Wansuk Senanan Nathalie Simard Predrag Simonović Michał Skóra Kristína Slovák Švolíková Evangelia Smeti Tereza Šmídová Ivan Špelić Greta Srėbalienė Gianluca Stasolla Paul Stebbing Barbora Števove Vettath Suresh Bettina Szajbert Kieu Anh T. Ta Ali Serhan Tarkan Jonathan Tempesti Thomas Therriault Hannah Tidbury Nildeniz Top-Karakuş Elena Tricarico Débora F.A. Troca Konstantinos Tsiamis Quenton Tuckett Pero Tutman Umut Uyan Eliza Uzunova Leonidas Vardakas Gaute Velle Hugo Verreycken Lizaveta Vintsek Hui Wei András Weiperth Olaf L.F. Weyl Emily Winter Radosław Włodarczyk Louisa Wood Ruibin Yang Sercan Yapıcı Shayne S.B. Yeo Baran Yoğurtçuoğlu Anna L.E. Yunnie Yunjie Zhu Grzegorz Zięba Kristína Žitňanová Stacey Clarke 7
Abstract : The threat posed by invasive non-native species worldwide requires a global approach to identify which introduced species are likely to pose an elevated risk of impact to native species and ecosystems. To inform policy, stakeholders and management decisions on global threats to aquatic ecosystems, 195 assessors representing 120 risk assessment areas across all six inhabited continents screened 819 non-native species from 15 groups of aquatic organisms (freshwater, brackish, marine plants and animals) using the Aquatic Species Invasiveness Screening Kit. This multi-lingual decision-support tool for the risk screening of aquatic organisms provides assessors with risk scores for a species under current and future climate change conditions that, following a statistically based calibration, permits the accurate classification of species into high-, medium-and low-risk categories under current and predicted climate conditions. The 1730 screenings undertaken encompassed wide geographical areas (regions, political entities, parts thereof, water bodies, river basins, lake drainage basins, and marine regions), which permitted thresholds to be identified for almost all aquatic organismal groups screened as well as for tropical, temperate and continental climate classes, and for tropical and temperate marine ecoregions. In total, 33 species were identified as posing a 'very high risk' of being or becoming invasive, and the scores of several of these species under current climate increased under future climate conditions, primarily due to their wide thermal tolerances. The risk thresholds determined for taxonomic groups and climate zones provide a basis against which area-specific or climate-based calibrated thresholds may be interpreted. In turn, the risk rankings help decision-makers identify which species require an immediate 'rapid' management action (e.g. eradication, control) to avoid or mitigate adverse impacts, which require a full risk assessment, and which are to be restricted or banned with regard to importation and/or sale as ornamental or aquarium/fishery enhancement.
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Submitted on : Thursday, January 27, 2022 - 7:28:30 AM
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Lorenzo Vilizzi, Gordon Copp, Jeffrey Hill, Boris Adamovich, Luke Aislabie, et al.. A global-scale screening of non-native aquatic organisms to identify potentially invasive species under current and future climate conditions. Science of the Total Environment, Elsevier, 2021, 788, pp.147868. ⟨10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147868⟩. ⟨hal-03544887⟩

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