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Aléa climatique et débits des cours d’eau dans le bassin transnational de la Meuse - Co-variabilité, changements possibles et impact sur les débordements

Abstract : Climate change requires to adapt management of streamflow extremes (floods and low flows). Our researches provide a framework to analyze climate change effect on the streamflow extremes in the transnational Meuse river basin, through a modelling chain (atmospheric model – hydrological model – hydraulic model) linking the pressure gradient force to the flow at the outlet of a basin. The climate forcing is obtained by blending historical data and multi-model data for the CMIP5 experience. By forcing two sub-basins of the Meuse river (located in France and Belgium) with the potential climate variability, we show that flood and low flows indices as well as river overflowing might be strongly impacted by the anthropogenic climate change. This analysis of catchment vulnerability is a robust tool to test climate resiliency of adaptation strategies for water management.
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https://hal.univ-lorraine.fr/tel-01706685
Contributor : Benjamin Grelier <>
Submitted on : Monday, January 15, 2018 - 7:53:55 PM
Last modification on : Friday, October 23, 2020 - 4:37:12 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Monday, May 7, 2018 - 11:25:48 AM

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  • HAL Id : tel-01706685, version 2

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B. Grelier. Aléa climatique et débits des cours d’eau dans le bassin transnational de la Meuse - Co-variabilité, changements possibles et impact sur les débordements. Hydrologie. Université de Lorraine; Université de Liège, 2017. Français. ⟨NNT : 2017LORR0243⟩. ⟨tel-01706685v2⟩

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